shine trader live reports:
The Quartet security dialogue (Quad) between the United States, Japan, Australia and India will hold its first face-to-face summit in Washington. Within six months, the Biden administration successively organized the leaders of the four countries to hold the first video summit and the first face-to-face meeting, which was generally interpreted by the international media as the United States eager to promote the India Pacific strategy to contain China. Just the day before the Quartet summit, the US House of Representatives considered and voted on the defense authorization law for the new fiscal year. The bill will provide the Pentagon with a budget of more than US $770 billion in the new fiscal year, a significant increase of US $25 billion compared with the budget previously proposed by the Biden administration. Republican lawmakers claimed that the bill “focuses like a laser on preparing for the US Army to win the conflict with China”. At the same time, the Japanese Prime Minister followed the United States to exaggerate the “China threat” before leaving for the meeting, claiming that the improvement of China’s military strength has “threatened Japan’s peace and prosperity”. Previously, in order to form an aukus alliance with the United States and Britain, Australia did not hesitate to tear up the contract for purchasing French submarines under the name of “treachery” and turned to the United States. Some media speculate that the United States, India, Japan and Australia will also form an alliance like aukus? In an interview with the global times on the 23rd, a number of Chinese scholars said that the four countries have their own calculations. There is still uncertainty about whether Quad can succeed and how far it can go.
“Focus like a laser” to defeat China
U.S. President Joe Biden will host the first face-to-face summit of leaders of the “Quartet security dialogue” between the United States, Japan, India and Australia at the White House on the 24th. The BBC said Quad was the key mechanism for the Biden administration to implement the India Pacific strategy. The summit is the latest move by the United States to “counter China’s influence” with other countries after the United States, Britain and Australia reached the aukus security agreement.
What attracts people’s attention is that just the day before the Quartet summit, the US House of Representatives deliberated and voted on the new national defense authorization law and proposed a record US $770 billion national defense budget, a significant increase of US $25 billion compared with the budget proposed by the Biden administration. VOA said that in Congress, Republicans believe that the United States needs to invest more money in defense spending to counter the strategic challenges and threats posed by China. This view is also generally recognized by Democrats. Rogers, the chief Republican member of the House Armed Services Committee, said the bill “focuses like a laser on preparing for the U.S. military to win a conflict with China”.
It is reported that the 1300 page defense spending bill aims to consolidate the Pentagon’s global military technology advantage and ensure that the United States has the ability to “respond to China’s growing threat”. The bill is aimed at China in many aspects: for example, it supports Taiwan’s development of asymmetric combat power and invites Taiwan to participate in multinational military exercises around the Pacific in 2022; In view of the so-called “human rights issues in Xinjiang”, it is prohibited to purchase products from Xinjiang; It is prohibited to provide transportation and other support for U.S. government officials to participate in the 2022 Beijing Winter Olympic Games. It is reported that “this move is considered to be a diplomatic boycott of the sports event by the United States”.
In an interview with the global times on the 23rd, Li Haidong, Professor of the Institute of international relations of the Foreign Affairs College, said that Biden said in the general debate of the UN General Assembly on Tuesday that the United States “does not seek a new cold war”. However, the China related content in the US national defense authorization law is a flagrant violation of China’s core interests, It is also an irresponsible statement and measure that shows that the US Anti China forces do not taboo open confrontation with China.
Li Haidong said that if the bill is passed by the U.S. Congress, it means that the United States will launch a higher intensity confrontation against China in defense related fields in the following year. He believes that the China clause in the bill represents the interests of those very narrow and aggressive interest groups with very strong ideological bias and cold war thinking in the American political system.
This almost paranoid attitude of confrontation with China has become a feature of many people in the US political and military. The official website of the U.S. Air Force said on the 21st that when attending the meeting of the Air Force Association, the new U.S. Air Force Secretary Kendall said that when adjusting the air force’s budget for the next fiscal year, if the projects to be developed by the air force “can’t make China afraid of us, we should think carefully about why we should continue to promote”. It is reported that Kendall mentioned “China” as many as 27 times in his 30 minute speech, while “Russia” and “Afghanistan” only three times. Kendall also said that not long ago, a congressman asked him what his priorities were after taking office. His answer was, “I have three answers: China, China and China.”
Will Quad become a new military alliance
In line with the recent purpose of the United States to form gangs at home and abroad, the United States hosted the Quartet summit in Washington on the 24th, which is also “aimed at China”. Reuters said Quad tried to contain China in terms of security, anti epidemic, key technologies and supply chain, especially to strengthen coordination in the so-called “safe semiconductor supply chain”. In addition, quad is also playing a diplomatic game with China in supplying vaccines to the world. One belt, one road initiative, is also being sought to provide China with a “transparent infrastructure” fund.
As for the Quartet summit’s attempt to contain China in terms of anti epidemic, infrastructure and semiconductor supply chain, many scholars believe that China is the world’s first manufacturing power and “infrastructure maniac”, and has achieved phased victory in anti epidemic at home. Quad has little chance of defeating China in these aspects. Therefore, the United States attempts to focus on containing China in terms of security and military.
The BBC said that in terms of geographical location, Japan and India are located on the East and west sides of China respectively, Australia is in the south, and the three countries “are an important fulcrum to surround China”. Therefore, the “Quartet mechanism” is an “excellent platform” for Washington to promote its India Pacific strategy. The report said that the “Quartet mechanism” is forming a clear agenda to deal with China. Biden attaches great importance to strengthening the functions of the “Quartet mechanism” platform, especially in security and military cooperation.
Japan has the most sensitive sense of smell for the intentions of the United States. Japanese Prime Minister Kan Yiwei said in an interview with Bloomberg before his departure on the 22nd that China’s practice of changing the regional status quo by improving its military strength threatens “Japan’s peace and prosperity”. He also said Japan will “continue to focus on the changes in the military balance between Chinese mainland and Taiwan”. Japan’s Kyodo News Agency disclosed the draft content of the quad joint statement on the 23rd. It is reported that the joint statement will specifically state that it “opposes challenging the rules based maritime order” in the East China Sea and the South China Sea.
In recent days, the United States has tried desperately to push Australia to the front line of military confrontation with China. According to the US air force times, wilsbach, air force commander of the US Pacific Command, announced on Tuesday: “as long as Australia speaks, F-22, F-35… We will send whatever we have.” at the White House press conference on the 22nd, a reporter asked, will the United States envisage building Quad into a military alliance similar to aukus?
Li Haidong said that military is the cornerstone and core of strategy. In the view of the United States, promoting and building military or paramilitary alliances at different levels against China is the guarantee for the United States to truly ensure its dominant position in the Western Pacific region. He said that whether the United States can form military alliances similar to NATO or in different forms in the Asia Pacific region still needs to be observed, but the direction is very clear. The United States will maximize the alliance operation of several security mechanisms it dominates, which will make the Asia Pacific region face a more divided and confrontational situation. This move by the United States is very dangerous and will never bring peace and stability.
Reprint indicated source：Shine Trader Limited Live information