Shine Trader Live reports:
On September 15, the trend of large and small indexes in the morning was divided. After the Shanghai index opened low, it rebounded and turned red, and the gem index fell more than 1%. Stimulated by the price rise news, the titanium dioxide plate strengthened significantly, Jinpu titanium industry and other trading limits, oil and gas stocks strengthened again, intercontinental oil and gas and other plates were closed, and PetroChina once rose 7%. Photovoltaic and wind power are strengthened across the board. Lithium battery strength, skyline shares and other trading limits. In addition, coal, electric power, chemical industry, steel and other cyclical sectors rose again. Hong Meng, industrial aircraft, Baijiu, super brands and other sectors are weakening. The decline of the three indexes expanded in the afternoon. So far, the Shanghai index has fallen 0.66%, the Shenzhen composite index has fallen 1.02% and the gem index has fallen 1.54%. In the afternoon, the wind power sector raised the limit tide, and nearly 20 shares such as Jinlei shares rose by more than 10%. The industrial aircraft sector is warming up, and Baijiu stocks remain in the doldrums. The turnover of Shanghai and Shenzhen stock markets exceeded one trillion yuan for the 41st consecutive trading day. On the whole, the short-term sentiment of the market is general, and the stocks in the two cities have mixed ups and downs. On the disk, oil and gas, photovoltaic, wind power and other plates are among the top gainers, and Baijiu, Hong Meng and medical devices are among the top ones.
1. Insiders: the monetary policy orientation has not changed, and LPR is expected to remain stable this month
According to the analysis of insiders, under the background of RRR reduction and refinancing, the central bank resumed sufficient continuous work on MLF, showing its care for liquidity at the end of the quarter. It does not rule out that it will continue to use reverse repurchase tools to increase short-term liquidity investment in the future. The open market operating interest rate remains unchanged, indicating that the orientation of monetary policy has not changed, and LPR is expected to remain stable this month.
2. In August, the added value of industries above designated size increased by 5.3% year-on-year
In August, the added value of industries above designated size increased by 5.3% year-on-year, expected to be 5.8%, and the previous value was 6.4%. From January to August, the added value of industries above designated size increased by 13.1% year-on-year, with an average growth of 6.6% in two years.
3. The Energy Bureau announced the list of promoting photovoltaic industry in the whole county, and the prosperity of the industry continued to improve
On the 14th, the National Energy Administration announced the notice on the list of county (city, district) roof distributed photovoltaic development pilots on its website. A total of 30 provinces in China submitted 676 County wide roof distributed photovoltaic development pilots. Anxin Securities believes that the total scale of the pilot counties and districts submitted this time is nearly 170gw, and they are mainly distributed in the well-developed provinces in the southeast. It is required that by 2023, 50%, 40%, 30% and 20% of photovoltaic power generation will be completed on the roofs of public institutions, schools and hospitals, industry and Commerce and rural areas, which will be listed as the demonstration county for roof distributed development of the whole county and promoted nationwide, earlier than expected in the previous “14th five year plan”. Under the background of medium and long-term policy setting, household photovoltaic track will usher in a high boom for at least 3-5 years.
1. Guosheng Securities: it will become a consensus to form a slow bull trend in the medium and long term
Guosheng Securities pointed out that at present, the market funds are running smoothly, the trillion level of trading volume between the two cities will become the norm, and it will become a consensus to form a slow bull trend in the medium and long term. The short-term blue chip undervaluation has attracted a lot of incremental funds, driving the Shanghai stock index to continue to rise unilaterally. The Shanghai Stock Exchange fluctuated at a high level on Tuesday, and differences in funds are normal. New energy vehicles, 5g Digital economy will be an important field for the country to complete the adjustment of industrial structure. Science and technology growth industry will still be the mainstream of long-term investment in the future. Strategically, we can pay attention to the replenishment opportunities of small and medium-sized market values such as small and medium-sized stocks and gem. In terms of industry, we can look for low absorption opportunities in industrial motherboards, new energy industrial chains, Huawei and other related concept stocks.
2. CSC: the high growth rate of new energy vehicles in the whole year is a foregone conclusion
Ren Jiawei, an analyst in the power equipment and new energy industry of CSC, estimated in the latest research report that with the opening of the “golden nine silver ten” in September, the high growth rate of new energy vehicles in the whole year has become a foregone conclusion, and the annual sales forecast has been raised to more than 3 million vehicles. Inside the power battery, lithium iron phosphate will maintain its dominant position for a long time.
3. Zhongyuan Securities: maintain the investment rating of “stronger than the market” in lithium battery industry
Zhongyuan Securities pointed out that as of September 10, the valuations of lithium battery and gem were 86.48 times and 50.30 times respectively. Combined with the prosperity of the industry, it maintained the investment rating of “stronger than the market”. Considering the increase of the sector, the valuation level of the industry and the changes in the macro environment, it is recommended to continue to pay attention to the investment opportunities of the sector in the short term, focusing on the three main lines of upstream lithium resources, electrolyte subdivision industrial chain and lithium iron phosphate subdivision industrial chain.